Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.619380 10.095115 11.710752 13.605967 15.763085 18.136614 20.940515
2025-12-21 5.937177 7.868468 10.210725 13.236793 17.016398 21.553056 27.378957
2025-12-28 4.773830 6.972321 9.858485 13.869223 19.233566 26.088302 35.424701
2026-01-04 3.930976 6.240070 9.481645 14.267126 21.034345 30.125584 43.095566
2026-01-11 3.229465 5.531755 8.965433 14.314023 22.254511 33.391431 49.917982
2026-01-18 2.697972 4.958594 8.522253 14.348590 23.380481 36.536104 56.737090
2026-01-25 2.204669 4.342604 7.899621 13.991501 23.829573 38.675381 62.205311
2026-02-01 1.816524 3.825703 7.345380 13.643127 24.208820 40.680715 67.553869
2026-02-08 1.471535 3.315731 6.717160 13.071823 24.136321 41.936441 71.790616
2026-02-15 1.210457 2.912411 6.210810 12.630654 24.204858 43.376480 76.360725
2026-02-22 1.089723 2.770620 6.165324 12.999251 25.674783 47.171808 84.920933
2026-03-01 0.990495 2.655076 6.151148 13.416030 27.252386 51.236157 94.152100
2026-03-08 0.823326 2.364006 5.767238 13.130714 27.630883 53.461338 100.775551
2026-03-15 0.674757 2.083935 5.365705 12.769604 27.856341 55.487191 107.306352
2026-03-22 0.618407 2.023449 5.434036 13.381950 30.007581 61.106291 120.478358
2026-03-29 0.554249 1.925706 5.399829 13.767539 31.741252 66.081022 132.817655
2026-04-05 0.479979 1.779125 5.223271 13.812977 32.782197 69.830090 143.165753
2026-04-12 0.416169 1.645302 5.053264 13.846482 33.792383 73.578900 153.729674
2026-04-19 0.345960 1.469273 4.741054 13.500324 33.950581 75.674078 161.309327
2026-04-26 0.287643 1.313249 4.450909 13.162648 34.083418 77.711728 168.882579
2026-05-03 0.232190 1.146821 4.096518 12.608964 33.665727 78.592143 174.244798
2026-05-10 0.189855 1.013327 3.808823 12.181469 33.484853 79.929400 180.564857
2026-05-17 0.173120 0.978095 3.814360 12.538638 35.187164 85.324842 195.314402